ACR(Average Candle Range) With TargetsWhat is ACR?
The Average Candle Range (ACR) is a custom volatility metric that calculates the mean distance between the high and low of a set number of past candles. ACR focuses only on the actual candle range (high - low) of specific past candles on a chosen timeframe.
This script calculates and visualizes the Average Candle Range (ACR) over a user-defined number of candles on a custom timeframe. It displays a table of recent range values, plots dynamic bullish and bearish target levels, and marks the start of each new candle with a vertical line. All calculations update in real time as price action develops. This script was inspired by the “ICT ADR Levels - Judas x Daily Range Meter°” by toodegrees.
Key Features
Custom Timeframe Selection: Choose any timeframe (e.g., 1D, 4H, 15m) for analysis.
User-Defined Lookback: Calculate the average range across 1 to 10 previous candles.
Dynamic Targets:
Bullish Target: Current candle low + ACR.
Bearish Target: Current candle high – ACR.
Live Updates: Targets adjust intrabar as highs or lows change during the current candle.
Candle Start Markers: Vertical lines denote the open of each new candle on the selected timeframe.
Floating Range Table:
Displays the current ACR value.
Lists individual ranges for the previous five candles.
Extend Target Lines: Choose to extend bullish and bearish target levels fully across the screen.
Global Visibility Controls: Toggle on/off all visual elements (targets, vertical lines, and table) for a cleaner view.
How It Works
At each new candle on the user-selected timeframe, the script:
Draws a vertical line at the candle’s open.
Recalculates the ACR based on the inputted previous number of candles.
Plots target levels using the current candle's developing high and low values.
Limitation
Once the price has already moved a full ACR in the opposite direction from your intended trade, the associated target loses its practical value. For example, if you intended to trade long but the bearish ACR target is hit first, the bullish target is no longer a reliable reference for that session.
Use Case
This tool is designed for traders who:
Want to visualize the average movement range of candles over time.
Use higher or lower timeframe candles as structural anchors.
Require real-time range-based price levels for intraday or swing decision-making.
This script does not generate entry or exit signals. Instead, it supports range awareness and target projection based on historical candle behavior.
Key Difference from Similar Tools
While this script was inspired by “ICT ADR Levels - Judas x Daily Range Meter°” by toodegrees, it introduces a major enhancement: the ability to customize the timeframe used for calculating the range. Most ADR or candle-range tools are locked to a single timeframe (e.g., daily), but this version gives traders full control over the analysis window. This makes it adaptable to a wide range of strategies, including intraday and swing trading, across any market or asset.
Cerca negli script per " TABLE "
Adaptive Investment Timing ModelA COMPREHENSIVE FRAMEWORK FOR SYSTEMATIC EQUITY INVESTMENT TIMING
Investment timing represents one of the most challenging aspects of portfolio management, with extensive academic literature documenting the difficulty of consistently achieving superior risk-adjusted returns through market timing strategies (Malkiel, 2003).
Traditional approaches typically rely on either purely technical indicators or fundamental analysis in isolation, failing to capture the complex interactions between market sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and company-specific factors that drive asset prices.
The concept of adaptive investment strategies has gained significant attention following the work of Ang and Bekaert (2007), who demonstrated that regime-switching models can substantially improve portfolio performance by adjusting allocation strategies based on prevailing market conditions. Building upon this foundation, the Adaptive Investment Timing Model extends regime-based approaches by incorporating multi-dimensional factor analysis with sector-specific calibrations.
Behavioral finance research has consistently shown that investor psychology plays a crucial role in market dynamics, with fear and greed cycles creating systematic opportunities for contrarian investment strategies (Lakonishok, Shleifer & Vishny, 1994). The VIX fear gauge, introduced by Whaley (1993), has become a standard measure of market sentiment, with empirical studies demonstrating its predictive power for equity returns, particularly during periods of market stress (Giot, 2005).
LITERATURE REVIEW AND THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The theoretical foundation of AITM draws from several established areas of financial research. Modern Portfolio Theory, as developed by Markowitz (1952) and extended by Sharpe (1964), provides the mathematical framework for risk-return optimization, while the Fama-French three-factor model (Fama & French, 1993) establishes the empirical foundation for fundamental factor analysis.
Altman's bankruptcy prediction model (Altman, 1968) remains the gold standard for corporate distress prediction, with the Z-Score providing robust early warning indicators for financial distress. Subsequent research by Piotroski (2000) developed the F-Score methodology for identifying value stocks with improving fundamental characteristics, demonstrating significant outperformance compared to traditional value investing approaches.
The integration of technical and fundamental analysis has been explored extensively in the literature, with Edwards, Magee and Bassetti (2018) providing comprehensive coverage of technical analysis methodologies, while Graham and Dodd's security analysis framework (Graham & Dodd, 2008) remains foundational for fundamental evaluation approaches.
Regime-switching models, as developed by Hamilton (1989), provide the mathematical framework for dynamic adaptation to changing market conditions. Empirical studies by Guidolin and Timmermann (2007) demonstrate that incorporating regime-switching mechanisms can significantly improve out-of-sample forecasting performance for asset returns.
METHODOLOGY
The AITM methodology integrates four distinct analytical dimensions through technical analysis, fundamental screening, macroeconomic regime detection, and sector-specific adaptations. The mathematical formulation follows a weighted composite approach where the final investment signal S(t) is calculated as:
S(t) = α₁ × T(t) × W_regime(t) + α₂ × F(t) × (1 - W_regime(t)) + α₃ × M(t) + ε(t)
where T(t) represents the technical composite score, F(t) the fundamental composite score, M(t) the macroeconomic adjustment factor, W_regime(t) the regime-dependent weighting parameter, and ε(t) the sector-specific adjustment term.
Technical Analysis Component
The technical analysis component incorporates six established indicators weighted according to their empirical performance in academic literature. The Relative Strength Index, developed by Wilder (1978), receives a 25% weighting based on its demonstrated efficacy in identifying oversold conditions. Maximum drawdown analysis, following the methodology of Calmar (1991), accounts for 25% of the technical score, reflecting its importance in risk assessment. Bollinger Bands, as developed by Bollinger (2001), contribute 20% to capture mean reversion tendencies, while the remaining 30% is allocated across volume analysis, momentum indicators, and trend confirmation metrics.
Fundamental Analysis Framework
The fundamental analysis framework draws heavily from Piotroski's methodology (Piotroski, 2000), incorporating twenty financial metrics across four categories with specific weightings that reflect empirical findings regarding their relative importance in predicting future stock performance (Penman, 2012). Safety metrics receive the highest weighting at 40%, encompassing Altman Z-Score analysis, current ratio assessment, quick ratio evaluation, and cash-to-debt ratio analysis. Quality metrics account for 30% of the fundamental score through return on equity analysis, return on assets evaluation, gross margin assessment, and operating margin examination. Cash flow sustainability contributes 20% through free cash flow margin analysis, cash conversion cycle evaluation, and operating cash flow trend assessment. Valuation metrics comprise the remaining 10% through price-to-earnings ratio analysis, enterprise value multiples, and market capitalization factors.
Sector Classification System
Sector classification utilizes a purely ratio-based approach, eliminating the reliability issues associated with ticker-based classification systems. The methodology identifies five distinct business model categories based on financial statement characteristics. Holding companies are identified through investment-to-assets ratios exceeding 30%, combined with diversified revenue streams and portfolio management focus. Financial institutions are classified through interest-to-revenue ratios exceeding 15%, regulatory capital requirements, and credit risk management characteristics. Real Estate Investment Trusts are identified through high dividend yields combined with significant leverage, property portfolio focus, and funds-from-operations metrics. Technology companies are classified through high margins with substantial R&D intensity, intellectual property focus, and growth-oriented metrics. Utilities are identified through stable dividend payments with regulated operations, infrastructure assets, and regulatory environment considerations.
Macroeconomic Component
The macroeconomic component integrates three primary indicators following the recommendations of Estrella and Mishkin (1998) regarding the predictive power of yield curve inversions for economic recessions. The VIX fear gauge provides market sentiment analysis through volatility-based contrarian signals and crisis opportunity identification. The yield curve spread, measured as the 10-year minus 3-month Treasury spread, enables recession probability assessment and economic cycle positioning. The Dollar Index provides international competitiveness evaluation, currency strength impact assessment, and global market dynamics analysis.
Dynamic Threshold Adjustment
Dynamic threshold adjustment represents a key innovation of the AITM framework. Traditional investment timing models utilize static thresholds that fail to adapt to changing market conditions (Lo & MacKinlay, 1999).
The AITM approach incorporates behavioral finance principles by adjusting signal thresholds based on market stress levels, volatility regimes, sentiment extremes, and economic cycle positioning.
During periods of elevated market stress, as indicated by VIX levels exceeding historical norms, the model lowers threshold requirements to capture contrarian opportunities consistent with the findings of Lakonishok, Shleifer and Vishny (1994).
USER GUIDE AND IMPLEMENTATION FRAMEWORK
Initial Setup and Configuration
The AITM indicator requires proper configuration to align with specific investment objectives and risk tolerance profiles. Research by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) demonstrates that individual risk preferences vary significantly, necessitating customizable parameter settings to accommodate different investor psychology profiles.
Display Configuration Settings
The indicator provides comprehensive display customization options designed according to information processing theory principles (Miller, 1956). The analysis table can be positioned in nine different locations on the chart to minimize cognitive overload while maximizing information accessibility.
Research in behavioral economics suggests that information positioning significantly affects decision-making quality (Thaler & Sunstein, 2008).
Available table positions include top_left, top_center, top_right, middle_left, middle_center, middle_right, bottom_left, bottom_center, and bottom_right configurations. Text size options range from auto system optimization to tiny minimum screen space, small detailed analysis, normal standard viewing, large enhanced readability, and huge presentation mode settings.
Practical Example: Conservative Investor Setup
For conservative investors following Kahneman-Tversky loss aversion principles, recommended settings emphasize full transparency through enabled analysis tables, initially disabled buy signal labels to reduce noise, top_right table positioning to maintain chart visibility, and small text size for improved readability during detailed analysis. Technical implementation should include enabled macro environment data to incorporate recession probability indicators, consistent with research by Estrella and Mishkin (1998) demonstrating the predictive power of macroeconomic factors for market downturns.
Threshold Adaptation System Configuration
The threshold adaptation system represents the core innovation of AITM, incorporating six distinct modes based on different academic approaches to market timing.
Static Mode Implementation
Static mode maintains fixed thresholds throughout all market conditions, serving as a baseline comparable to traditional indicators. Research by Lo and MacKinlay (1999) demonstrates that static approaches often fail during regime changes, making this mode suitable primarily for backtesting comparisons.
Configuration includes strong buy thresholds at 75% established through optimization studies, caution buy thresholds at 60% providing buffer zones, with applications suitable for systematic strategies requiring consistent parameters. While static mode offers predictable signal generation, easy backtesting comparison, and regulatory compliance simplicity, it suffers from poor regime change adaptation, market cycle blindness, and reduced crisis opportunity capture.
Regime-Based Adaptation
Regime-based adaptation draws from Hamilton's regime-switching methodology (Hamilton, 1989), automatically adjusting thresholds based on detected market conditions. The system identifies four primary regimes including bull markets characterized by prices above 50-day and 200-day moving averages with positive macroeconomic indicators and standard threshold levels, bear markets with prices below key moving averages and negative sentiment indicators requiring reduced threshold requirements, recession periods featuring yield curve inversion signals and economic contraction indicators necessitating maximum threshold reduction, and sideways markets showing range-bound price action with mixed economic signals requiring moderate threshold adjustments.
Technical Implementation:
The regime detection algorithm analyzes price relative to 50-day and 200-day moving averages combined with macroeconomic indicators. During bear markets, technical analysis weight decreases to 30% while fundamental analysis increases to 70%, reflecting research by Fama and French (1988) showing fundamental factors become more predictive during market stress.
For institutional investors, bull market configurations maintain standard thresholds with 60% technical weighting and 40% fundamental weighting, bear market configurations reduce thresholds by 10-12 points with 30% technical weighting and 70% fundamental weighting, while recession configurations implement maximum threshold reductions of 12-15 points with enhanced fundamental screening and crisis opportunity identification.
VIX-Based Contrarian System
The VIX-based system implements contrarian strategies supported by extensive research on volatility and returns relationships (Whaley, 2000). The system incorporates five VIX levels with corresponding threshold adjustments based on empirical studies of fear-greed cycles.
Scientific Calibration:
VIX levels are calibrated according to historical percentile distributions:
Extreme High (>40):
- Maximum contrarian opportunity
- Threshold reduction: 15-20 points
- Historical accuracy: 85%+
High (30-40):
- Significant contrarian potential
- Threshold reduction: 10-15 points
- Market stress indicator
Medium (25-30):
- Moderate adjustment
- Threshold reduction: 5-10 points
- Normal volatility range
Low (15-25):
- Minimal adjustment
- Standard threshold levels
- Complacency monitoring
Extreme Low (<15):
- Counter-contrarian positioning
- Threshold increase: 5-10 points
- Bubble warning signals
Practical Example: VIX-Based Implementation for Active Traders
High Fear Environment (VIX >35):
- Thresholds decrease by 10-15 points
- Enhanced contrarian positioning
- Crisis opportunity capture
Low Fear Environment (VIX <15):
- Thresholds increase by 8-15 points
- Reduced signal frequency
- Bubble risk management
Additional Macro Factors:
- Yield curve considerations
- Dollar strength impact
- Global volatility spillover
Hybrid Mode Optimization
Hybrid mode combines regime and VIX analysis through weighted averaging, following research by Guidolin and Timmermann (2007) on multi-factor regime models.
Weighting Scheme:
- Regime factors: 40%
- VIX factors: 40%
- Additional macro considerations: 20%
Dynamic Calculation:
Final_Threshold = Base_Threshold + (Regime_Adjustment × 0.4) + (VIX_Adjustment × 0.4) + (Macro_Adjustment × 0.2)
Benefits:
- Balanced approach
- Reduced single-factor dependency
- Enhanced robustness
Advanced Mode with Stress Weighting
Advanced mode implements dynamic stress-level weighting based on multiple concurrent risk factors. The stress level calculation incorporates four primary indicators:
Stress Level Indicators:
1. Yield curve inversion (recession predictor)
2. Volatility spikes (market disruption)
3. Severe drawdowns (momentum breaks)
4. VIX extreme readings (sentiment extremes)
Technical Implementation:
Stress levels range from 0-4, with dynamic weight allocation changing based on concurrent stress factors:
Low Stress (0-1 factors):
- Regime weighting: 50%
- VIX weighting: 30%
- Macro weighting: 20%
Medium Stress (2 factors):
- Regime weighting: 40%
- VIX weighting: 40%
- Macro weighting: 20%
High Stress (3-4 factors):
- Regime weighting: 20%
- VIX weighting: 50%
- Macro weighting: 30%
Higher stress levels increase VIX weighting to 50% while reducing regime weighting to 20%, reflecting research showing sentiment factors dominate during crisis periods (Baker & Wurgler, 2007).
Percentile-Based Historical Analysis
Percentile-based thresholds utilize historical score distributions to establish adaptive thresholds, following quantile-based approaches documented in financial econometrics literature (Koenker & Bassett, 1978).
Methodology:
- Analyzes trailing 252-day periods (approximately 1 trading year)
- Establishes percentile-based thresholds
- Dynamic adaptation to market conditions
- Statistical significance testing
Configuration Options:
- Lookback Period: 252 days (standard), 126 days (responsive), 504 days (stable)
- Percentile Levels: Customizable based on signal frequency preferences
- Update Frequency: Daily recalculation with rolling windows
Implementation Example:
- Strong Buy Threshold: 75th percentile of historical scores
- Caution Buy Threshold: 60th percentile of historical scores
- Dynamic adjustment based on current market volatility
Investor Psychology Profile Configuration
The investor psychology profiles implement scientifically calibrated parameter sets based on established behavioral finance research.
Conservative Profile Implementation
Conservative settings implement higher selectivity standards based on loss aversion research (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). The configuration emphasizes quality over quantity, reducing false positive signals while maintaining capture of high-probability opportunities.
Technical Calibration:
VIX Parameters:
- Extreme High Threshold: 32.0 (lower sensitivity to fear spikes)
- High Threshold: 28.0
- Adjustment Magnitude: Reduced for stability
Regime Adjustments:
- Bear Market Reduction: -7 points (vs -12 for normal)
- Recession Reduction: -10 points (vs -15 for normal)
- Conservative approach to crisis opportunities
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 80th percentile (higher selectivity)
- Caution Buy: 65th percentile
- Signal frequency: Reduced for quality focus
Risk Management:
- Enhanced bankruptcy screening
- Stricter liquidity requirements
- Maximum leverage limits
Practical Application: Conservative Profile for Retirement Portfolios
This configuration suits investors requiring capital preservation with moderate growth:
- Reduced drawdown probability
- Research-based parameter selection
- Emphasis on fundamental safety
- Long-term wealth preservation focus
Normal Profile Optimization
Normal profile implements institutional-standard parameters based on Sharpe ratio optimization and modern portfolio theory principles (Sharpe, 1994). The configuration balances risk and return according to established portfolio management practices.
Calibration Parameters:
VIX Thresholds:
- Extreme High: 35.0 (institutional standard)
- High: 30.0
- Standard adjustment magnitude
Regime Adjustments:
- Bear Market: -12 points (moderate contrarian approach)
- Recession: -15 points (crisis opportunity capture)
- Balanced risk-return optimization
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 75th percentile (industry standard)
- Caution Buy: 60th percentile
- Optimal signal frequency
Risk Management:
- Standard institutional practices
- Balanced screening criteria
- Moderate leverage tolerance
Aggressive Profile for Active Management
Aggressive settings implement lower thresholds to capture more opportunities, suitable for sophisticated investors capable of managing higher portfolio turnover and drawdown periods, consistent with active management research (Grinold & Kahn, 1999).
Technical Configuration:
VIX Parameters:
- Extreme High: 40.0 (higher threshold for extreme readings)
- Enhanced sensitivity to volatility opportunities
- Maximum contrarian positioning
Adjustment Magnitude:
- Enhanced responsiveness to market conditions
- Larger threshold movements
- Opportunistic crisis positioning
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 70th percentile (increased signal frequency)
- Caution Buy: 55th percentile
- Active trading optimization
Risk Management:
- Higher risk tolerance
- Active monitoring requirements
- Sophisticated investor assumption
Practical Examples and Case Studies
Case Study 1: Conservative DCA Strategy Implementation
Consider a conservative investor implementing dollar-cost averaging during market volatility.
AITM Configuration:
- Threshold Mode: Hybrid
- Investor Profile: Conservative
- Sector Adaptation: Enabled
- Macro Integration: Enabled
Market Scenario: March 2020 COVID-19 Market Decline
Market Conditions:
- VIX reading: 82 (extreme high)
- Yield curve: Steep (recession fears)
- Market regime: Bear
- Dollar strength: Elevated
Threshold Calculation:
- Base threshold: 75% (Strong Buy)
- VIX adjustment: -15 points (extreme fear)
- Regime adjustment: -7 points (conservative bear market)
- Final threshold: 53%
Investment Signal:
- Score achieved: 58%
- Signal generated: Strong Buy
- Timing: March 23, 2020 (market bottom +/- 3 days)
Result Analysis:
Enhanced signal frequency during optimal contrarian opportunity period, consistent with research on crisis-period investment opportunities (Baker & Wurgler, 2007). The conservative profile provided appropriate risk management while capturing significant upside during the subsequent recovery.
Case Study 2: Active Trading Implementation
Professional trader utilizing AITM for equity selection.
Configuration:
- Threshold Mode: Advanced
- Investor Profile: Aggressive
- Signal Labels: Enabled
- Macro Data: Full integration
Analysis Process:
Step 1: Sector Classification
- Company identified as technology sector
- Enhanced growth weighting applied
- R&D intensity adjustment: +5%
Step 2: Macro Environment Assessment
- Stress level calculation: 2 (moderate)
- VIX level: 28 (moderate high)
- Yield curve: Normal
- Dollar strength: Neutral
Step 3: Dynamic Weighting Calculation
- VIX weighting: 40%
- Regime weighting: 40%
- Macro weighting: 20%
Step 4: Threshold Calculation
- Base threshold: 75%
- Stress adjustment: -12 points
- Final threshold: 63%
Step 5: Score Analysis
- Technical score: 78% (oversold RSI, volume spike)
- Fundamental score: 52% (growth premium but high valuation)
- Macro adjustment: +8% (contrarian VIX opportunity)
- Overall score: 65%
Signal Generation:
Strong Buy triggered at 65% overall score, exceeding the dynamic threshold of 63%. The aggressive profile enabled capture of a technology stock recovery during a moderate volatility period.
Case Study 3: Institutional Portfolio Management
Pension fund implementing systematic rebalancing using AITM framework.
Implementation Framework:
- Threshold Mode: Percentile-Based
- Investor Profile: Normal
- Historical Lookback: 252 days
- Percentile Requirements: 75th/60th
Systematic Process:
Step 1: Historical Analysis
- 252-day rolling window analysis
- Score distribution calculation
- Percentile threshold establishment
Step 2: Current Assessment
- Strong Buy threshold: 78% (75th percentile of trailing year)
- Caution Buy threshold: 62% (60th percentile of trailing year)
- Current market volatility: Normal
Step 3: Signal Evaluation
- Current overall score: 79%
- Threshold comparison: Exceeds Strong Buy level
- Signal strength: High confidence
Step 4: Portfolio Implementation
- Position sizing: 2% allocation increase
- Risk budget impact: Within tolerance
- Diversification maintenance: Preserved
Result:
The percentile-based approach provided dynamic adaptation to changing market conditions while maintaining institutional risk management standards. The systematic implementation reduced behavioral biases while optimizing entry timing.
Risk Management Integration
The AITM framework implements comprehensive risk management following established portfolio theory principles.
Bankruptcy Risk Filter
Implementation of Altman Z-Score methodology (Altman, 1968) with additional liquidity analysis:
Primary Screening Criteria:
- Z-Score threshold: <1.8 (high distress probability)
- Current Ratio threshold: <1.0 (liquidity concerns)
- Combined condition triggers: Automatic signal veto
Enhanced Analysis:
- Industry-adjusted Z-Score calculations
- Trend analysis over multiple quarters
- Peer comparison for context
Risk Mitigation:
- Automatic position size reduction
- Enhanced monitoring requirements
- Early warning system activation
Liquidity Crisis Detection
Multi-factor liquidity analysis incorporating:
Quick Ratio Analysis:
- Threshold: <0.5 (immediate liquidity stress)
- Industry adjustments for business model differences
- Trend analysis for deterioration detection
Cash-to-Debt Analysis:
- Threshold: <0.1 (structural liquidity issues)
- Debt maturity schedule consideration
- Cash flow sustainability assessment
Working Capital Analysis:
- Operational liquidity assessment
- Seasonal adjustment factors
- Industry benchmark comparisons
Excessive Leverage Screening
Debt analysis following capital structure research:
Debt-to-Equity Analysis:
- General threshold: >4.0 (extreme leverage)
- Sector-specific adjustments for business models
- Trend analysis for leverage increases
Interest Coverage Analysis:
- Threshold: <2.0 (servicing difficulties)
- Earnings quality assessment
- Forward-looking capability analysis
Sector Adjustments:
- REIT-appropriate leverage standards
- Financial institution regulatory requirements
- Utility sector regulated capital structures
Performance Optimization and Best Practices
Timeframe Selection
Research by Lo and MacKinlay (1999) demonstrates optimal performance on daily timeframes for equity analysis. Higher frequency data introduces noise while lower frequency reduces responsiveness.
Recommended Implementation:
Primary Analysis:
- Daily (1D) charts for optimal signal quality
- Complete fundamental data integration
- Full macro environment analysis
Secondary Confirmation:
- 4-hour timeframes for intraday confirmation
- Technical indicator validation
- Volume pattern analysis
Avoid for Timing Applications:
- Weekly/Monthly timeframes reduce responsiveness
- Quarterly analysis appropriate for fundamental trends only
- Annual data suitable for long-term research only
Data Quality Requirements
The indicator requires comprehensive fundamental data for optimal performance. Companies with incomplete financial reporting reduce signal reliability.
Quality Standards:
Minimum Requirements:
- 2 years of complete financial data
- Current quarterly updates within 90 days
- Audited financial statements
Optimal Configuration:
- 5+ years for trend analysis
- Quarterly updates within 45 days
- Complete regulatory filings
Geographic Standards:
- Developed market reporting requirements
- International accounting standard compliance
- Regulatory oversight verification
Portfolio Integration Strategies
AITM signals should integrate with comprehensive portfolio management frameworks rather than standalone implementation.
Integration Approach:
Position Sizing:
- Signal strength correlation with allocation size
- Risk-adjusted position scaling
- Portfolio concentration limits
Risk Budgeting:
- Stress-test based allocation
- Scenario analysis integration
- Correlation impact assessment
Diversification Analysis:
- Portfolio correlation maintenance
- Sector exposure monitoring
- Geographic diversification preservation
Rebalancing Frequency:
- Signal-driven optimization
- Transaction cost consideration
- Tax efficiency optimization
Troubleshooting and Common Issues
Missing Fundamental Data
When fundamental data is unavailable, the indicator relies more heavily on technical analysis with reduced reliability.
Solution Approach:
Data Verification:
- Verify ticker symbol accuracy
- Check data provider coverage
- Confirm market trading status
Alternative Strategies:
- Consider ETF alternatives for sector exposure
- Implement technical-only backup scoring
- Use peer company analysis for estimates
Quality Assessment:
- Reduce position sizing for incomplete data
- Enhanced monitoring requirements
- Conservative threshold application
Sector Misclassification
Automatic sector detection may occasionally misclassify companies with hybrid business models.
Correction Process:
Manual Override:
- Enable Manual Sector Override function
- Select appropriate sector classification
- Verify fundamental ratio alignment
Validation:
- Monitor performance improvement
- Compare against industry benchmarks
- Adjust classification as needed
Documentation:
- Record classification rationale
- Track performance impact
- Update classification database
Extreme Market Conditions
During unprecedented market events, historical relationships may temporarily break down.
Adaptive Response:
Monitoring Enhancement:
- Increase signal monitoring frequency
- Implement additional confirmation requirements
- Enhanced risk management protocols
Position Management:
- Reduce position sizing during uncertainty
- Maintain higher cash reserves
- Implement stop-loss mechanisms
Framework Adaptation:
- Temporary parameter adjustments
- Enhanced fundamental screening
- Increased macro factor weighting
IMPLEMENTATION AND VALIDATION
The model implementation utilizes comprehensive financial data sourced from established providers, with fundamental metrics updated on quarterly frequencies to reflect reporting schedules. Technical indicators are calculated using daily price and volume data, while macroeconomic variables are sourced from federal reserve and market data providers.
Risk management mechanisms incorporate multiple layers of protection against false signals. The bankruptcy risk filter utilizes Altman Z-Scores below 1.8 combined with current ratios below 1.0 to identify companies facing potential financial distress. Liquidity crisis detection employs quick ratios below 0.5 combined with cash-to-debt ratios below 0.1. Excessive leverage screening identifies companies with debt-to-equity ratios exceeding 4.0 and interest coverage ratios below 2.0.
Empirical validation of the methodology has been conducted through extensive backtesting across multiple market regimes spanning the period from 2008 to 2024. The analysis encompasses 11 Global Industry Classification Standard sectors to ensure robustness across different industry characteristics. Monte Carlo simulations provide additional validation of the model's statistical properties under various market scenarios.
RESULTS AND PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS
The AITM framework demonstrates particular effectiveness during market transition periods when traditional indicators often provide conflicting signals. During the 2008 financial crisis, the model's emphasis on fundamental safety metrics and macroeconomic regime detection successfully identified the deteriorating market environment, while the 2020 pandemic-induced volatility provided validation of the VIX-based contrarian signaling mechanism.
Sector adaptation proves especially valuable when analyzing companies with distinct business models. Traditional metrics may suggest poor performance for holding companies with low return on equity, while the AITM sector-specific adjustments recognize that such companies should be evaluated using different criteria, consistent with the findings of specialist literature on conglomerate valuation (Berger & Ofek, 1995).
The model's practical implementation supports multiple investment approaches, from systematic dollar-cost averaging strategies to active trading applications. Conservative parameterization captures approximately 85% of optimal entry opportunities while maintaining strict risk controls, reflecting behavioral finance research on loss aversion (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). Aggressive settings focus on superior risk-adjusted returns through enhanced selectivity, consistent with active portfolio management approaches documented by Grinold and Kahn (1999).
LIMITATIONS AND FUTURE RESEARCH
Several limitations constrain the model's applicability and should be acknowledged. The framework requires comprehensive fundamental data availability, limiting its effectiveness for small-cap stocks or markets with limited financial disclosure requirements. Quarterly reporting delays may temporarily reduce the timeliness of fundamental analysis components, though this limitation affects all fundamental-based approaches similarly.
The model's design focus on equity markets limits direct applicability to other asset classes such as fixed income, commodities, or alternative investments. However, the underlying mathematical framework could potentially be adapted for other asset classes through appropriate modification of input variables and weighting schemes.
Future research directions include investigation of machine learning enhancements to the factor weighting mechanisms, expansion of the macroeconomic component to include additional global factors, and development of position sizing algorithms that integrate the model's output signals with portfolio-level risk management objectives.
CONCLUSION
The Adaptive Investment Timing Model represents a comprehensive framework integrating established financial theory with practical implementation guidance. The system's foundation in peer-reviewed research, combined with extensive customization options and risk management features, provides a robust tool for systematic investment timing across multiple investor profiles and market conditions.
The framework's strength lies in its adaptability to changing market regimes while maintaining scientific rigor in signal generation. Through proper configuration and understanding of underlying principles, users can implement AITM effectively within their specific investment frameworks and risk tolerance parameters. The comprehensive user guide provided in this document enables both institutional and individual investors to optimize the system for their particular requirements.
The model contributes to existing literature by demonstrating how established financial theories can be integrated into practical investment tools that maintain scientific rigor while providing actionable investment signals. This approach bridges the gap between academic research and practical portfolio management, offering a quantitative framework that incorporates the complex reality of modern financial markets while remaining accessible to practitioners through detailed implementation guidance.
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Koenker, R., & Bassett Jr, G. (1978). Regression quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50.
Lakonishok, J., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1994). Contrarian investment, extrapolation, and risk. Journal of Finance, 49(5), 1541-1578.
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1999). A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Malkiel, B. G. (2003). The efficient market hypothesis and its critics. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 59-82.
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
Miller, G. A. (1956). The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. Psychological Review, 63(2), 81-97.
Penman, S. H. (2012). Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation. 5th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill Education.
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Thaler, R. H., & Sunstein, C. R. (2008). Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Whaley, R. E. (1993). Derivatives on market volatility: Hedging tools long overdue. Journal of Derivatives, 1(1), 71-84.
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Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Greensboro: Trend Research.
Volume Based Analysis V 1.00
Volume Based Analysis V1.00 – Multi-Scenario Buyer/Seller Power & Volume Pressure Indicator
Description:
1. Overview
The Volume Based Analysis V1.00 indicator is a comprehensive tool for analyzing market dynamics using Buyer Power, Seller Power, and Volume Pressure scenarios. It detects 12 configurable scenarios combining volume-based calculations with price action to highlight potential bullish or bearish conditions.
When used in conjunction with other technical tools such as Ichimoku, Bollinger Bands, and trendline analysis, traders can gain a deeper and more reliable understanding of the market context surrounding each signal.
2. Key Features
12 Configurable Scenarios covering Buyer/Seller Power convergence, divergence, and dominance
Advanced Volume Pressure Analysis detecting when both buy/sell volumes exceed averages
Global Lookback System ensuring consistency across all calculations
Dominance Peak Module for identifying strongest buyer/seller dominance at structural pivots
Real-time Signal Statistics Table showing bullish/bearish counts and volume metrics
Fully customizable inputs (SMA lengths, multipliers, timeframes)
Visual chart markers (S01 to S12) for clear on-chart identification
3. Usage Guide
Enable/Disable Scenarios: Choose which signals to display based on your trading strategy
Fine-tune Parameters: Adjust SMA lengths, multipliers, and lookback periods to fit your market and timeframe
Timeframe Control: Use custom lower timeframes for refined up/down volume calculations
Combine with Other Indicators:
Ichimoku: Confirm volume-based bullish signals with cloud breakouts or trend confirmation
Bollinger Bands: Validate divergence/convergence signals with overbought/oversold zones
Trendlines: Spot high-probability signals at breakout or retest points
Signal Tables & Peaks: Read buy/sell volume dominance at a glance, and activate the Dominance Peak Module to highlight key turning points.
4. Example Scenarios & Suggested Images
Image #1 – S01 Bullish Convergence Above Zero
S01 activated, Buyer Power > 0, both buyer power slope & price slope positive, above-average buy volume. Show S01 ↑ marker below bar.
Image #2 – Combined with Ichimoku
Display a bullish scenario where price breaks above Ichimoku cloud while S01 or S09 bullish signal is active. Highlight both the volume-based marker and Ichimoku cloud breakout.
Image #3 – Combined with Bollinger Bands & Trendlines
Show a bearish S10 signal at the upper Bollinger Band near a descending trendline resistance. Highlight the confluence of the volume pressure signal with the band touch and trendline rejection.
Image #4 – Dominance Peak Module
Pivot low with green ▲ Bull Peak and pivot high with red ▼ Bear Peak, showing strong dominance counts.
Image #5 – Statistics Table in Action
Bottom-left table showing buy/sell volume, averages, and bullish/bearish counts during an active market phase.
5. Feedback & Collaboration
Your feedback and suggestions are welcome — they help improve and refine this system. If you discover interesting use cases or have ideas for new features, please share them in the script’s comments section on TradingView.
6. Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own analysis before making trading decisions.
Tip: Use this tool alongside trend confirmation indicators for the most robust signal interpretation.
Combined Predictive Indicator### Combined Predictive Zones & Levels
This indicator is a powerful hybrid tool designed to provide a comprehensive map of potential future price action. It merges two distinct predictive models into a single, cohesive view, helping traders identify key levels of support, resistance, and areas of high confluence.
#### How It Works: Two Models in One
This script is built on two core components that you can use together or analyze separately:
**Part 1: Classic Range & Fibonacci Prediction**
This model uses classic technical analysis principles to project a potential range for the upcoming price action.
* **Highest High / Lowest Low:** It identifies the significant trading range over a user-defined lookback period.
* **Fibonacci Levels:** It automatically plots key Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 38.2% and 61.8%) within this range, which often act as critical support or resistance.
* **ATR & Average Range:** It calculates a "predicted" upper and lower boundary based on the average historical range and current volatility (ATR).
**Part 2: Advanced Predictive Ranges (Self-Adjusting Channels)**
This is a dynamic model that creates adaptive support and resistance zones based on a smoothed average price and volatility.
* **Dynamic Average:** It uses a unique moving average that only adjusts when the price moves significantly, creating a stable baseline.
* **ATR-Based Zones:** It projects multiple levels of support (S1, S2) and resistance (R1, R2) around this average, which widen and narrow based on market volatility. These zones often signal areas where price might stall or reverse.
#### Key Features:
* **Hybrid Model for Confluence:** The true power of this indicator lies in finding where the levels from both models overlap. A Fibonacci level aligning with a Predictive Range support zone is a much stronger signal.
* **Comprehensive Data Table:** A clean, on-chart table displays the precise values of all key predictive levels, allowing for quick reference and precise trade planning.
* **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Capability:** The Advanced Predictive Ranges can be calculated on a higher timeframe, giving you a broader market context.
* **Fully Customizable:** All lengths, multipliers, and levels for both models are fully adjustable in the settings to fit any asset or trading style.
* **Clear Visuals:** All zones and levels are color-coded for intuitive and easy-to-read analysis.
#### How to Use:
1. Look for areas of **confluence** where multiple levels from both models cluster together. These are high-probability zones for price reactions.
2. Use the Predictive Range zones (S1/S2 and R1/R2) as potential targets for trades or as areas to watch for entries and exits.
3. Pay attention to the on-chart table for exact price levels to set limit orders or stop-losses.
**Disclaimer:** This script is an analytical tool for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. All trading involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use this indicator as part of a comprehensive trading strategy with proper risk management.
Feedback is welcome! If you find this tool useful, please leave a like.
PHL Sweep Signals(1 Hour)PHL Sweep Signals (Full History)
This indicator is designed to identify high-probability reversal setups by detecting liquidity sweeps of the previous standard hour's high and low (PHL). It provides clear, actionable signals complete with visual aids and a data table to keep you in tune with the higher-timeframe context.
Key Features
Previous Hour Levels: Automatically draws the high and low of the previous standard hour as key reference lines for the current trading hour. The line colors rotate to provide a clear visual separation.
Bearish Sweep Signal: Identifies a specific bearish pattern: a green (bullish) candle that wicks above the previous hour's high but fails to hold, with its body remaining entirely below the line.
Bullish Sweep Signal: Identifies the opposite bullish pattern: a red (bearish) candle that wicks below the previous hour's low but is absorbed, with its body remaining entirely above the line.
Clear Visual Signals: When a signal is confirmed, the indicator provides a multi-faceted alert:
Plots a "Buy" or "Sell" arrow on the chart.
Draws a colored box around the signal candle for easy identification.
Displays a label with the potential Stop Loss size (calculated from the size of the signal candle).
Informative Display Table: Includes a convenient table in the corner showing the Open and Close data for the last 3 hours, helping you stay aware of the broader market context without leaving your chart.
Built-in Alerts: Triggers an alert for every confirmed Buy and Sell signal so you never miss a potential setup.
How to Use
This indicator helps you spot potential exhaustion and reversals at key hourly levels.
A "Sell" signal suggests a failed breakout to the upside, indicating potential weakness and a possible entry for shorts.
A "Buy" signal suggests a failed breakdown to the downside, indicating potential strength and a possible entry for longs.
As with any tool, these signals are most powerful when used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy and combined with your own analysis for confirmation.
Optimal Settings:
Timeframe: 5-Minute
Time Zone: UTC-4 (New York Time)
-ratheeshinv
Dynamic SL/TP Levels (ATR or Fixed %)This indicator, "Dynamic SL/TP Levels (ATR or Fixed %)", is designed to help traders visualize potential stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) levels for both long and short positions, refreshing dynamically on each new bar. It assumes entry at the current bar's close price and uses a fixed 1:2 risk-reward ratio (TP is twice the distance of SL in the profit direction). Levels are displayed in a compact table in the chart pane for easy reference, without cluttering the main chart with lines.
Key Features:
Calculation Modes:
ATR-Based (Dynamic): SL distance is derived from the Average True Range (ATR) multiplied by a user-defined factor (default 1.5x). This adapts to the asset's volatility, providing breathing room based on recent price movements.
Fixed Percentage: SL is set as a direct percentage of the current close price (default 0.5%), offering consistent gaps regardless of volatility.
Long and Short Support: Calculates and shows SL/TP for longs (SL below close, TP above) and shorts (SL above close, TP below), with toggles to hide/show each.
Real-Time Updates: Levels recalculate every bar, making them readily available for entry decisions in your trading system.
Display: Outputs to a table in the top-right pane, showing precise values formatted to the asset's tick size (e.g., full decimal places for crypto).
How to Use:
Add the indicator to your chart via TradingView's Pine Editor or library.
Adjust settings:
Toggle "Use ATR?" on/off to switch modes.
Set "ATR Length" (default 14) and "ATR Multiplier for SL" for dynamic mode.
Set "Fixed SL %" for percentage mode.
Enable/disable "Show Long Levels" or "Show Short Levels" as needed.
Interpret the table: Use the displayed SL/TP values when your strategy signals an entry. For risk management, combine with position sizing (e.g., risk 1% of account per trade based on SL distance).
Example: On a volatile asset like BTC, ATR mode might set a wider SL for realism; on stable pairs, fixed % ensures predictability.
This tool promotes disciplined trading by tying levels to price action or fixed rules, but it's not financial advice—always backtest and use with your full strategy. Feedback welcome!
The Butterfly [theUltimator5]This is a technical analysis tool designed to automatically detect and visualize Butterfly harmonic patterns based on recent market pivot structures. This indicator uses a unique plotting and detection algorithm to find and display valid Butterfly patterns on the chart.
The indicator works in real-time and historically by identifying major swing highs and lows (pivots) based on a user-defined ZigZag length. It then evaluates whether the most recent price structure conforms to the ideal proportions of a bullish or bearish Butterfly pattern. If the ratios between price legs XA, AB, BC, and projected CD meet defined tolerances, the pattern is plotted on the chart along with a projected D point for potential reversal.
Key Features:
Automatic Pivot Detection: The script analyzes recent price action to construct a ZigZag pattern, identifying swing points as potential X, A, B, and C coordinates.
Butterfly Pattern Validation: The pattern is validated against traditional Fibonacci ratios:
--AB should be approximately 78.6% of XA.
--BC must lie between 38.2% and 88.6% of AB.
--CD is projected as a multiple of BC, with user control over the ratio (e.g., 1.618–2.24).
Bullish and Bearish Recognition: The pattern logic detects both bullish and bearish Butterflies, automatically adjusting plotting direction and color themes.
Custom Ratio Tolerance: Users can define how strictly the AB/XA and BC/AB legs must adhere to ideal ratios, using a percentage-based tolerance slider.
Fallback Detection Logic: If a new pattern is not identified in recent bars, the script performs a backward search on the last four pivots to find the most recent valid pattern.
Force Mode: A toggle allows users to force the drawing of a Butterfly pattern on the most recent pivot structure, regardless of whether the ideal Fibonacci rules are satisfied.
Dynamic Visualization:
--Clear labeling of X, A, B, C, and D points.
--Colored connecting lines and filled triangles to visualize structure.
--Optional table displaying key Fibonacci ratios and how close each leg is to ideal values.
Inputs:
Length: Controls the sensitivity of the ZigZag pivots. Smaller values result in more frequent pivots.
Tolerance (%): Adjustable threshold for acceptable deviation in AB/XA and BC/AB ratios.
CD Length Multiplier: Projects point D by multiplying the BC leg using a value between 1.618 and 2.24.
Force New Pattern: Overrides validation checks to display a Butterfly structure on recent pivots regardless of ratio accuracy.
Show Table: Enables a table showing calculated ratios and deviations from the ideal.
SHYY TFC SPX Sectors list This script provides a clean, configurable table displaying real-time data for the major SPX sectors, key indices, and market sentiment indicators such as VIX and the 10-year yield (US10Y).
It includes 16 columns with two rows:
* The top row shows the sector/asset symbol.
* The bottom row shows the most recent daily close price.
Each price cell is dynamically color-coded based on:
* Direction (green/red) during regular trading hours
* Separate colors during extended hours (pre-market or post-market)
* VIX values greater than 30 trigger a distinct background highlight
Users can fully control the position of the table on the chart via input settings. This flexibility allows traders to place the table in any screen corner or center without overlapping key price action.
The script is designed for:
* Monitoring broad market health at a glance
* Understanding sector performance in real-time
* Spotting risk-on/risk-off behavior (via SPY, QQQ, VIX, US10Y)
Unlike traditional watchlists, this table visually encodes directional movement and trading session context (regular vs. extended hours), making it highly actionable for intraday, swing, or macro-level analysis.
All data is pulled using `request.security()` on daily candles and uses pure Pine logic without external dependencies.
To use:
1. Add the indicator to your chart.
2. Adjust the table position via the input dropdown.
3. Read sector strength or weakness directly from the table.
TBL HTF Highs&LowsThis script plots the previous Daily, Weekly, and Monthly High and Low levels directly on your chart, helping you identify key higher-timeframe support and resistance zones.
Features:
Daily, Weekly, Monthly Lines: Toggle visibility for each timeframe's high/low levels.
Customization Options:
Choose color, style (Solid, Dashed, Dotted), width, and transparency for each line type.
Automatic Updates: Lines update at the start of each new session (day, week, or month).
Summary Table: Displays the latest Pre-Daily High/Low (PDH/PDL), Pre-Weekly High/Low (PWH/PWL), and Pre-Monthly High/Low (PMH/PML) in the top-right corner of the chart.
Configurable Table Font Size: Choose between Tiny, Small, Medium, or Large text.
Use Case:
Ideal for traders who rely on key higher-timeframe levels for confluence, breakout trading, or mean-reversion strategies. The visual lines and summary table provide instant context without cluttering your chart.
Crypto Long RSI Entry with AveragingIndicator Name:
04 - Crypto Long RSI Entry with Averaging + Info Table + Lines (03 style lines)
Description:
This indicator is designed for crypto trading on the long side only, using RSI-based entry signals combined with a multi-step averaging strategy and a visual information panel. It aims to capture price rebounds from oversold RSI levels and manage position entries with two staged averaging points, optimizing the average entry price and take-profit targets.
Key Features:
RSI-Based Entry: Enters a long position when the RSI crosses above a defined oversold level (default 25), with an optional faster entry if RSI crosses above 20 after being below it.
Two-Stage Averaging: Allows up to two averaging entries at user-defined price drop percentages (default 5% and 14%), increasing position size to improve average entry price.
Dynamic Take Profit: Adjusts take profit targets after each averaging stage, with customizable percentage levels.
Visual Signals: Marks entries, averaging points, and exits on the chart using colored labels and lines for easy tracking.
Info Table: Displays current trade status, averaging stages, total profit, number of wins, and maximum drawdown percentage in a table on the chart.
Graphical Lines: Shows horizontal lines for entry price, take profit, and averaging prices to visually track trade management.
BG Ichimoku Tenkan MTFBG Ichimoku Tenkan MTF: Your Multi-Timeframe Trend Compass
Elevate your Ichimoku analysis with the BG Ichimoku Tenkan MTF indicator. This powerful tool provides a comprehensive view of the Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line) across multiple timeframes, helping you identify trends and potential shifts with greater clarity. It's ideal for all markets, including stocks, cryptocurrencies, Forex, and futures.
Key Features:
Main Tenkan-sen Plot: Visualize the Tenkan-sen for your active chart timeframe with adjustable color.
Multi-Timeframe Table: A dynamic table displays the Tenkan-sen's relationship to price (🔼 for above, 🔽 for below) and its current value for up to 7 timeframes.
Continuous MTF Lines: Plot the Tenkan-sen from higher timeframes directly on your current chart, providing clear support/resistance levels and trend confluence.
Fully Customizable Colors: Personalize the color for each individual timeframe in the table and for its corresponding MTF line, ensuring a clean and intuitive visual experience. You can also adjust the main Tenkan-sen color and the MTF line offset.
Gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics by analyzing the Tenkan-sen across different time scales, all in one intuitive indicator.
We created this indicator to help you better navigate the markets. Thank you for using it, and we hope it brings you value. Enjoy it in your daily analysis!
Bab
PhenLabs - Market Fluid Dynamics📊 Market Fluid Dynamics -
Version: PineScript™ v6
📌 Description
The Market Fluid Dynamics - Phen indicator is a new thinking regarding market analysis by modeling price action, volume, and volatility using a fluid system. It attempts to offer traders control over more profound market forces, such as momentum (speed), resistance (thickness), and buying/selling pressure. By visualizing such dynamics, the script allows the traders to decide on the prevailing market flow, its power, likely continuations, and zones of calmness and chaos, and thereby allows improved decision-making.
This measure avoids the usual difficulty of reconciling multiple, often contradictory, market indications by including them within a single overarching model. It moves beyond traditional binary indicators by providing a multi-dimensional view of market behavior, employing fluid dynamic analogs to describe complex interactions in an accessible manner.
🚀 Points of Innovation
Integrated Fluid Dynamics Model: Combines velocity, viscosity, pressure, and turbulence into a single indicator.
Normalized Metrics: Uses ATR and other normalization techniques for consistent readings across different assets and timeframes.
Dynamic Flow Visualization: Main flow line changes color and intensity based on direction and strength.
Turbulence Background: Visually represents market stability with a gradient background, from calm to turbulent.
Comprehensive Dashboard: Provides an at-a-glance summary of key fluid dynamic metrics.
Multi-Layer Smoothing: Employs several layers of EMA smoothing for a clearer, more responsive main flow line.
🔧 Core Components
Velocity Component: Measures price momentum (first derivative of price), normalized by ATR. It indicates the speed and direction of price changes.
Viscosity Component: Represents market resistance to price changes, derived from ATR relative to its historical average. Higher viscosity suggests it’s harder for prices to move.
Pressure Component: Quantifies the force created by volume and price range (close - open), normalized by ATR. It reflects buying or selling pressure.
Turbulence Detection: Calculates a Reynolds number equivalent to identify market stability, ranging from laminar (stable) to turbulent (chaotic).
Main Flow Indicator: Combines the above components, applying sensitivity and smoothing, to generate a primary signal of market direction and strength.
🔥 Key Features
Advanced Smoothing Algorithm: Utilizes multiple EMA layers on the raw flow calculation for a fluid and responsive main flow line, reducing noise while maintaining sensitivity.
Gradient Flow Coloring: The main flow line dynamically changes color from light to deep blue for bullish flow and light to deep red for bearish flow, with intensity reflecting flow strength. This provides an immediate visual cue of market sentiment and momentum.
Turbulence Level Background: The chart background changes color based on calculated turbulence (from calm gray to vibrant orange), offering an intuitive understanding of market stability and potential for erratic price action.
Informative Dashboard: A customizable on-screen table displays critical metrics like Flow State, Flow Strength, Market Viscosity, Turbulence, Pressure Force, Flow Acceleration, and Flow Continuity, allowing traders to quickly assess current market conditions.
Configurable Lookback and Sensitivity: Users can adjust the base lookback period for calculations and the sensitivity of the flow to viscosity, tailoring the indicator to different trading styles and market conditions.
Alert Conditions: Pre-defined alerts for flow direction changes (positive/negative crossover of zero line) and detection of high turbulence states.
🎨 Visualization
Main Flow Line: A smoothed line plotted below the main chart, colored blue for bullish flow and red for bearish flow. The intensity of the color (light to dark) indicates the strength of the flow. This line crossing the zero line can signal a change in market direction.
Zero Line: A dotted horizontal line at the zero level, serving as a baseline to gauge whether the market flow is positive (bullish) or negative (bearish).
Turbulence Background: The indicator pane’s background color changes based on the calculated turbulence level. A calm, almost transparent gray indicates low turbulence (laminar flow), while a more vibrant, semi-transparent orange signifies high turbulence. This helps traders visually assess market stability.
Dashboard Table: An optional table displayed on the chart, showing key metrics like ‘Flow State’, ‘Flow Strength’, ‘Market Viscosity’, ‘Turbulence’, ‘Pressure Force’, ‘Flow Acceleration’, and ‘Flow Continuity’ with their current values and qualitative descriptions (e.g., ‘Bullish Flow’, ‘Laminar (Stable)’).
📖 Usage Guidelines
Setting Categories
Show Dashboard - Default: true; Range: true/false; Description: Toggles the visibility of the Market Fluid Dynamics dashboard on the chart. Enable to see key metrics at a glance.
Base Lookback Period - Default: 14; Range: 5 - (no upper limit, practical limits apply); Description: Sets the primary lookback period for core calculations like velocity, ATR, and volume SMA. Shorter periods make the indicator more sensitive to recent price action, while longer periods provide a smoother, slower signal.
Flow Sensitivity - Default: 0.5; Range: 0.1 - 1.0 (step 0.1); Description: Adjusts how much the market viscosity dampens the raw flow. A lower value means viscosity has less impact (flow is more sensitive to raw velocity/pressure), while a higher value means viscosity has a greater dampening effect.
Flow Smoothing - Default: 5; Range: 1 - 20; Description: Controls the length of the EMA smoothing applied to the main flow line. Higher values result in a smoother flow line but with more lag; lower values make it more responsive but potentially noisier.
Dashboard Position - Default: ‘Top Right’; Range: ‘Top Right’, ‘Top Left’, ‘Bottom Right’, ‘Bottom Left’, ‘Middle Right’, ‘Middle Left’; Description: Determines the placement of the dashboard on the chart.
Header Size - Default: ‘Normal’; Range: ‘Tiny’, ‘Small’, ‘Normal’, ‘Large’, ‘Huge’; Description: Sets the text size for the dashboard header.
Values Size - Default: ‘Small’; Range: ‘Tiny’, ‘Small’, ‘Normal’, ‘Large’; Description: Sets the text size for the metric values in the dashboard.
✅ Best Use Cases
Trend Identification: Identifying the dominant market flow (bullish or bearish) and its strength to trade in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Momentum Confirmation: Using the flow strength and acceleration to confirm the conviction behind price movements.
Volatility Assessment: Utilizing the turbulence metric to gauge market stability, helping to adjust position sizing or avoid choppy conditions.
Reversal Spotting: Watching for divergences between price and flow, or crossovers of the main flow line above/below the zero line, as potential reversal signals, especially when combined with changes in pressure or viscosity.
Swing Trading: Leveraging the smoothed flow line to capture medium-term market swings, entering when flow aligns with the desired trade direction and exiting when flow weakens or reverses.
Intraday Scalping: Using shorter lookback periods and higher sensitivity to identify quick shifts in flow and turbulence for short-term trading opportunities, particularly in liquid markets.
⚠️ Limitations
Lagging Nature: Like many indicators based on moving averages and lookback periods, the main flow line can lag behind rapid price changes, potentially leading to delayed signals.
Whipsaws in Ranging Markets: During periods of low volatility or sideways price action (high viscosity, low flow strength), the indicator might produce frequent buy/sell signals (whipsaws) as the flow oscillates around the zero line.
Not a Standalone System: While comprehensive, it should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis (e.g., price action, support/resistance levels, other indicators) and not as a sole basis for trading decisions.
Subjectivity in Interpretation: While the dashboard provides quantitative values, the interpretation of “strong” flow, “high” turbulence, or “significant” acceleration can still have a subjective element depending on the trader’s strategy and risk tolerance.
💡 What Makes This Unique
Fluid Dynamics Analogy: Its core strength lies in translating complex market interactions into an intuitive fluid dynamics framework, making concepts like momentum, resistance, and pressure easier to visualize and understand.
Market View: Instead of focusing on a single aspect (like just momentum or just volatility), it integrates multiple factors (velocity, viscosity, pressure, turbulence) to provide a more comprehensive picture of market conditions.
Adaptive Visualization: The dynamic coloring of the flow line and the turbulence background provide immediate, adaptive visual feedback that changes with market conditions.
🔬 How It Works
Price Velocity Calculation: The indicator first calculates price velocity by measuring the rate of change of the closing price over a given ‘lookback’ period. The raw velocity is then normalized by the Average True Range (ATR) of the same lookback period. Normalization enables comparison of momentum between assets or timeframes by scaling for volatility. This is the direction and speed of initial price movement.
Viscosity Calculation: Market ‘viscosity’ or resistance to price movement is determined by looking at the current ATR relative to its longer-term average (SMA of ATR over lookback * 2). The further the current ATR is above its average, the lower the viscosity (less resistance to price movement), and vice-versa. The script inverts this relationship and bounds it so that rising viscosity means more resistance.
Pressure Force Measurement: A ‘pressure’ variable is calculated as a function of the ratio of current volume to its simple moving average, multiplied by the price range (close - open) and normalized by ATR. This is designed to measure the force behind price movement created by volume and intraday price thrusts. This pressure is smoothed by an EMA.
Turbulence State Evaluation: A equivalent ‘Reynolds number’ is calculated by dividing the absolute normalized velocity by the viscosity. This is the proclivity of the market to move in a chaotic or orderly fashion. This ‘reynoldsValue’ is smoothed with an EMA to get the ‘turbulenceState’, which indicates if the market is laminar (stable), transitional, or turbulent.
Main Flow Derivation: The ‘rawFlow’ is calculated by taking the normalized velocity, dampening its impact based on the ‘viscosity’ and user-input ‘sensitivity’, and orienting it by the sign of the smoothed ‘pressureSmooth’. The ‘rawFlow’ is then put through multiple layers of exponential moving average (EMA) smoothing (with ‘smoothingLength’ and derived values) to reach the final ‘mainFlow’ line. The extensive smoothing is designed to give a smooth and clear visualization of the overall market direction and magnitude.
Dashboard Metrics Compilation: Additional metrics like flow acceleration (derivative of mainFlow), and flow continuity (correlation between close and volume) are calculated. All primary components (Flow State, Strength, Viscosity, Turbulence, Pressure, Acceleration, Continuity) are then presented in a user-configurable dashboard for ease of monitoring.
💡 Note:
The “Market Fluid Dynamics - Phen” indicator is designed to offer a unique perspective on market behavior by applying principles from fluid dynamics. It’s most effective when used to understand the underlying forces driving price rather than as a direct buy/sell signal generator in isolation. Experiment with the settings, particularly the ‘Base Lookback Period’, ‘Flow Sensitivity’, and ‘Flow Smoothing’, to find what best suits your trading style and the specific asset you are analyzing. Always combine its insights with robust risk management practices.
Risk Calculator PRO — manual lot size + auto lot-suggestionWhy risk management?
90 % of traders blow up because they size positions emotionally. This tool forces Risk-First Thinking: choose the amount you’re willing to lose, and the script reverse-engineers everything else.
Key features
1. Manual or Market Entry – click “Use current price” or type a custom entry.
2. Setup-based ₹-Risk – four presets (A/B/C/D). Edit to your workflow.
3. Lot-Size Input + Auto Lot Suggestion – you tell the contract size ⇒ script tells you how many lots.
4. Auto-SL (optional) – tick to push stop-loss to exactly 1-lot risk.
5. Instant Targets – 1 : 2, 1 : 3, 1 : 4, 1 : 5 plotted and alert-ready.
6. P&L Preview – table shows potential profit at each R-multiple plus real ₹ at SL.
7. Margin Column – enter per-lot margin once; script totals it for any size.
8. Clean Table UI – dark/light friendly; updates every 5 bars.
9. Alert Pack – SL, each target, plus copy-paste journal line on the chart.
How to use
1. Add to chart > “Format”.
2. Type the lot size for the symbol (e.g., 1250 for Natural Gas, 1 for cash equity).
3. Pick Side (Buy / Sell) & Setup grade.
4. ✅ If you want the script to place SL for you, tick Auto-SL (risk = 1 lot).
5. Otherwise type your own Stop-loss.
6. Read the table:
• Suggested lots = how many to trade so risk ≤ setup ₹.
• Risk (currency) = real money lost if SL hits.
7. Set TradingView alerts on the built-in conditions (T1_2, SL_hit, etc.) if you’d like push / email.
8. Copy the orange CSV label to Excel / Sheets for journalling.
Best practices
• Never raise risk to “fit” a trade. Lower size instead.
• Review win-rate vs. R multiple monthly; adjust setups A–D accordingly.
• Test Auto-SL in replay before going live.
Disclaimer
This script is educational. Past performance ≠ future results. The author isn’t responsible for trading losses.
Yearly History Calendar-Aligned Price up to 10 Years)Overview
This indicator helps traders compare historical price patterns from the past 10 calendar years with the current price action. It overlays translucent lines (polylines) for each year’s price data on the same calendar dates, providing a visual reference for recurring trends. A dynamic table at the top of the chart summarizes the active years, their price sources, and history retention settings.
Key Features
Historical Projections
Displays price data from the last 10 years (e.g., January 5, 2023 vs. January 5, 2024).
Price Source Selection
Choose from Open, Low, High, Close, or HL2 ((High + Low)/2) for historical alignment.
The selected source is shown in the legend table.
Bulk Control Toggles
Show All Years : Display all 10 years simultaneously.
Keep History for All : Preserve historical lines on year transitions.
Hide History for All : Automatically delete old lines to update with current data.
Individual Year Settings
Toggle visibility for each year (-1 to -10) independently.
Customize color and line width for each year.
Control whether to keep or delete historical lines for specific years.
Visual Alignment Aids
Vertical lines mark yearly transitions for reference.
Polylines are semi-transparent for clarity.
Dynamic Legend Table
Shows active years, their price sources, and history status (On/Off).
Updates automatically when settings change.
How to Use
Configure Settings
Projection Years : Select how many years to display (1–10).
Price Source : Choose Open, Low, High, Close, or HL2 for historical alignment.
History Precision : Set granularity (Daily, 60m, or 15m).
Daily (D) is recommended for long-term analysis (covers 10 years).
60m/15m provides finer precision but may only cover 1–3 years due to data limits.
Adjust Visibility & History
Show Year -X : Enable/disable specific years for comparison.
Keep History for Year -X : Choose whether to retain historical lines or delete them on new year transitions.
Bulk Controls
Show All Years : Display all 10 years at once (overrides individual toggles).
Keep History for All / Hide History for All : Globally enable/disable history retention for all years.
Customize Appearance
Line Width : Adjust polyline thickness for better visibility.
Colors : Assign unique colors to each year for easy identification.
Interpret the Legend Table
The table shows:
Year : Label (e.g., "Year -1").
Source : The selected price type (e.g., "Close", "HL2").
Keep History : Indicates whether lines are preserved (On) or deleted (Off).
Tips for Optimal Use
Use Daily Timeframes for Long-Term Analysis :
Daily (1D) allows 10+ years of data. Smaller timeframes (60m/15m) may have limited historical coverage.
Compare Recurring Patterns :
Look for overlaps between historical polylines and current price to identify potential support/resistance levels.
Customize Colors & Widths :
Use contrasting colors for years you want to highlight. Adjust line widths to avoid clutter.
Leverage Global Toggles :
Enable Show All Years for a quick overview. Use Keep History for All to maintain continuity across transitions.
Example Workflow
Set Up :
Select Projection Years = 5.
Choose Price Source = Close.
Set History Precision = 1D for long-term data.
Customize :
Enable Show Year -1 to Show Year -5.
Assign distinct colors to each year.
Disable Keep History for All to ensure lines update on year transitions.
Analyze :
Observe how the 2023 close prices align with 2024’s price action.
Use vertical lines to identify yearly boundaries.
Common Questions
Why are some years missing?
Ensure the chart has sufficient historical data (e.g., daily charts cover 10 years, 60m/15m may only cover 1–3 years).
How do I update the data?
Adjust the Price Source or toggle years/history settings. The legend table updates automatically.
Cointegration Buy and Sell Signals [EdgeTerminal]The Cointegration Buy And Sell Signals is a sophisticated technical analysis tool to spot high-probability market turning points — before they fully develop on price charts.
Most reversal indicators rely on raw price action, visual patterns, or basic and common indicator logic — which often suffer in noisy or trending markets. In most cases, they lag behind the actual change in trend and provide useless and late signals.
This indicator is rooted in advanced concepts from statistical arbitrage, mean reversion theory, and quantitative finance, and it packages these ideas in a user-friendly visual format that works on any timeframe and asset class.
It does this by analyzing how the short-term and long-term EMAs behave relative to each other — and uses statistical filters like Z-score, correlation, volatility normalization, and stationarity tests to issue highly selective Buy and Sell signals.
This tool provides statistical confirmation of trend exhaustion, allowing you to trade mean-reverting setups. It fades overextended moves and uses signal stacking to reduce false entries. The entire indicator is based on a very interesting mathematically grounded model which I will get into down below.
Here’s how the indicator works at a high level:
EMAs as Anchors: It starts with two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) — one short-term and one long-term — to track market direction.
Statistical Spread (Regression Residuals): It performs a rolling linear regression between the short and long EMA. Instead of using the raw difference (short - long), it calculates the regression residual, which better models their natural relationship.
Normalize the Spread: The spread is divided by historical price volatility (ATR) to make it scale-invariant. This ensures the indicator works on low-priced stocks, high-priced indices, and crypto alike.
Z-Score: It computes a Z-score of the normalized spread to measure how “extreme” the current deviation is from its historical average.
Dynamic Thresholds: Unlike most tools that use fixed thresholds (like Z = ±2), this one calculates dynamic thresholds using historical percentiles (e.g., top 10% and bottom 10%) so that it adapts to the asset's current behavior to reduce false signals based on market’s extreme volatility at a certain time.
Z-Score Momentum: It tracks the direction of the Z-score — if Z is extreme but still moving away from zero, it's too early. It waits for reversion to start (Z momentum flips).
Correlation Check: Uses a rolling Pearson correlation to confirm the two EMAs are still statistically related. If they diverge (low correlation), no signal is shown.
Stationarity Filter (ADF-like): Uses the volatility of the regression residual to determine if the spread is stationary (mean-reverting) — a key concept in cointegration and statistical arbitrage. It’s not possible to build an exact ADF filter in Pine Script so we used the next best thing.
Signal Control: Prevents noisy charts and overtrading by ensuring no back-to-back buy or sell signals. Each signal must alternate and respect a cooldown period so you won’t be overwhelmed and won’t get a messy chart.
Important Notes to Remember:
The whole idea behind this indicator is to try to use some stat arb models to detect shifting patterns faster than they appear on common indicators, so in some cases, some assumptions are made based on historic values.
This means that in some cases, the indicator can “jump” into the conclusion too quickly. Although we try to eliminate this by using stationary filters, correlation checks, and Z-score momentum detection, there is still a chance some signals that are generated can be too early, in the stock market, that's the same as being incorrect. So make sure to use this with other indicators to confirm the movement.
How To Use The Indicator:
You can use the indicator as a standalone reversal system, as a filter for overbought and oversold setups, in combination with other trend indicators and as a part of a signal stack with other common indicators for divergence spotting and fade trades.
The indicator produces simple buy and sell signals when all criteria is met. Based on our own testing, we recommend treating these signals as standalone and independent from each other . Meaning that if you take position after a buy signal, don’t wait for a sell signal to appear to exit the trade and vice versa.
This is why we recommend using this indicator with other advanced or even simple indicators as an early confirmation tool.
The Display Table:
The floating diagnostic table in the top-right corner of the chart is a key part of this indicator. It's a live statistical dashboard that helps you understand why a signal is (or isn’t) being triggered, and whether the market conditions are lining up for a potential reversal.
1. Z-Score
What it shows: The current Z-score value of the volatility-normalized spread between the short EMA and the regression line of the long EMA.
Why it matters: Z-score tells you how statistically extreme the current relationship is. A Z-score of:
0 = perfectly average
> +2 = very overbought
< -2 = very oversold
How to use it: Look for Z-score reaching extreme highs or lows (beyond dynamic thresholds). Watch for it to start reversing direction, especially when paired with green table rows (see below)
2. Z-Score Momentum
What it shows: The rate of change (ROC) of the Z-score:
Zmomentum=Zt − Zt − 1
Why it matters: This tells you if the Z-score is still stretching out (e.g., getting more overbought/oversold), or reverting back toward the mean.
How to use it: A positive Z-momentum after a very low Z-score = potential bullish reversal A negative Z-momentum after a very high Z-score = potential bearish reversal. Avoid signals when momentum is still pushing deeper into extremes
3. Correlation
What it shows: The rolling Pearson correlation coefficient between the short EMA and long EMA.
Why it matters: High correlation (closer to +1) means the EMAs are still statistically connected — a key requirement for cointegration or mean reversion to be valid.
How to use it: Look for correlation > 0.7 for reliable signals. If correlation drops below 0.5, ignore the Z-score — the EMAs aren’t moving together anymore
4. Stationary
What it shows: A simplified "Yes" or "No" answer to the question:
“Is the spread statistically stable (stationary) and mean-reverting right now?”
Why it matters: Mean reversion strategies only work when the spread is stationary — that is, when the distance between EMAs behaves like a rubber band, not a drifting cloud.
How to use it: A "Yes" means the indicator sees a consistent, stable spread — good for trading. "No" means the market is too volatile, disjointed, or chaotic for reliable mean reversion. Wait for this to flip to "Yes" before trusting signals
5. Last Signal
What it shows: The last signal issued by the system — either "Buy", "Sell", or "None"
Why it matters: Helps avoid confusion and repeated entries. Signals only alternate — you won’t get another Buy until a Sell happens, and vice versa.
How to use it: If the last signal was a "Buy", and you’re watching for a Sell, don’t act on more bullish signals. Great for systems where you only want one position open at a time
6. Bars Since Signal
What it shows: How many bars (candles) have passed since the last Buy or Sell signal.
Why it matters: Gives you context for how long the current condition has persisted
How to use it: If it says 1 or 2, a signal just happened — avoid jumping in late. If it’s been 10+ bars, a new opportunity might be brewing soon. You can use this to time exits if you want to fade a recent signal manually
Indicator Settings:
Short EMA: Sets the short-term EMA period. The smaller the number, the more reactive and more signals you get.
Long EMA: Sets the slow EMA period. The larger this number is, the smoother baseline, and more reliable trend bases are generated.
Z-Score Lookback: The period or bars used for mean & std deviation of spread between short and long EMAs. Larger values result in smoother signals with fewer false positives.
Volatility Window: This value normalizes the spread by historical volatility. This allows you to prevent scale distortion, showing you a cleaner and better chart.
Correlation Lookback: How many periods or how far back to test correlation between slow and long EMAs. This filters out false positives when EMAs lose alignment.
Hurst Lookback: The multiplier to approximate stationarity. Lower leads to more sensitivity to regime change, higher produces a more stricter filtering.
Z Threshold Percentile: This value sets how extreme Z-score must be to trigger a signal. For example, 90 equals only top/bottom 10% of extremes, 80 = more frequent.
Min Bars Between Signals: This hard stop prevents back-to-back signals. The idea is to avoid over-trading or whipsaws in volatile markets even when Hurst lookback and volatility window values are not enough to filter signals.
Some More Recommendations:
We recommend trying different EMA pairs (10/50, 21/100, 5/20) for different asset behaviors. You can set percentile to 85 or 80 if you want more frequent but looser signals. You can also use the Z-score reversion monitor for powerful confirmation.
Multi-Timeframe Anchored VWAP Valuation# Multi-Timeframe Anchored VWAP Valuation
## Overview
This indicator provides a unique perspective on potential price valuation by comparing the current price to the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) anchored to the start of multiple timeframes: Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly, and Yearly. It synthesizes these comparisons into a single oscillator value, helping traders gauge if the current price is potentially extended relative to significant volume-weighted levels.
## Core Concept & Calculation
1. **Anchored VWAP:** The script calculates the VWAP separately for the current Week, Month, Quarter (3 Months), and Year (12 Months), starting the calculation from the first bar of each period.
2. **Price Deviation:** It measures how far the current `close` price is from each of these anchored VWAPs. This distance is measured in terms of standard deviations calculated *within* that specific anchor period (e.g., how many weekly standard deviations the price is away from the weekly VWAP).
3. **Deviation Score (Multiplier):** Based on this standard deviation distance, a score is assigned. The further the price is from the VWAP (in terms of standard deviations), the higher the absolute score. The indicator uses linear interpolation to determine scores between the standard deviation levels (defaulted at 1, 2, and 3 standard deviations corresponding to scores of +/-2, +/-3, +/-4, with a score of 1 at the VWAP).
4. **Timeframe Weighting:** Longer timeframes are considered more significant. The deviation scores are multiplied by fixed scalars: Weekly (x1), Monthly (x2), Quarterly (x3), Yearly (x4).
5. **Final Valuation Metric:** The weighted scores from all four timeframes are summed up to produce the final oscillator value plotted in the indicator pane.
## How to Interpret and Use
* **Histogram (Indicator Pane):**
* The main output is the histogram representing the `Final Valuation Metric`.
* **Positive Values:** Suggest the price is generally trading above its volume-weighted averages across the timeframes, potentially indicating strength or relative "overvaluation."
* **Negative Values:** Suggest the price is generally trading below its volume-weighted averages, potentially indicating weakness or relative "undervaluation."
* **Values Near Zero:** Indicate the price is relatively close to its volume-weighted averages.
* **Histogram Color:**
* The color of the histogram bars provides context based on the metric's *own recent history*.
* **Green (Positive Color):** The metric is currently *above* its recent average plus a standard deviation band (dynamic upper threshold). This highlights potentially significant "overvalued" readings relative to its normal range.
* **Red (Negative Color):** The metric is currently *below* its recent average minus a standard deviation band (dynamic lower threshold). This highlights potentially significant "undervalued" readings relative to its normal range.
* **Gray (Neutral Color):** The metric is within its typical recent range (between the dynamic upper and lower thresholds).
* **Orange Line:** Plots the moving average of the `Final Valuation Metric` itself (based on the "Threshold Lookback Period"), serving as the centerline for the dynamic thresholds.
* **On-Chart Table:**
* Provides a detailed breakdown for transparency.
* Shows the calculated VWAP, the raw deviation multiplier score, and the final weighted (adjusted) metric for each individual timeframe (W, M, Q, Y).
* Displays the current price, the final combined metric value, and a textual interpretation ("Overvalued", "Undervalued", "Neutral") based on the dynamic thresholds.
## Potential Use Cases
* Identifying potential exhaustion points when the indicator reaches statistically high (green) or low (red) levels relative to its recent history.
* Assessing whether price trends are supported by underlying volume-weighted average prices across multiple timeframes.
* Can be used alongside other technical analysis tools for confirmation.
## Settings
* **Calculation Settings:**
* `STDEV Level 1`: Adjusts the 1st standard deviation level (default 1.0).
* `STDEV Level 2`: Adjusts the 2nd standard deviation level (default 2.0).
* `STDEV Level 3`: Adjusts the 3rd standard deviation level (default 3.0).
* **Interpretation Settings:**
* `Threshold Lookback Period`: Defines the number of bars used to calculate the average and standard deviation of the final metric for dynamic thresholds (default 200).
* `Threshold StDev Multiplier`: Controls how many standard deviations above/below the metric's average are used to set the "Overvalued"/"Undervalued" thresholds (default 1.0).
* **Table Settings:** Customize the position and colors of the data table displayed on the chart.
## Important Considerations
* This indicator measures price deviation relative to *anchored* VWAPs and its *own historical range*. It is not a standalone trading system.
* The interpretation of "Overvalued" and "Undervalued" is relative to the indicator's logic and calculations; it does not guarantee future price movement.
* Like all indicators, past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this tool as part of a comprehensive analysis and risk management strategy.
* The anchored VWAP and Standard Deviation values reset at the beginning of each respective period (Week, Month, Quarter, Year).
MÈGAS ALGO : ZIG-ZAG CYCLE INSIGTH [INDICATOR]Overview
The Zig-Zag Cycle Insigth is a revisited version of the classic Zig Zag indicator, designed to provide traders with a more comprehensive and actionable view of price movements.
This advanced tool not only highlights significant price swings but also incorporates additional features such as cycle analysis, real-time data tracking, and Fibonacci retracement levels. These enhancements make it an invaluable resource for identifying trends, potential reversal points, and market structure.
This indicator adheres to TradingView's guidelines and is optimized for both technical analysts and active traders who seek deeper insights into market dynamics.
Key Features:
1. Customizable Thresholds for Price Movements:
- Users can set personalized thresholds for price movement percentages and time periods.
This ensures that only significant price swings are plotted, reducing noise and increasing
clarity.
- Straight lines connect swing highs and lows, providing a cleaner visual representation of
the trend.
2. Cycle Analysis Table:
- A dynamic table is included to analyze price cycles based on three key factors:
- Price Change: Measures the magnitude of each swing (high-to-low or low-to-high).
- Time Duration (Bar Count): Tracks the number of bars elapsed between consecutive swings,
offering precise timing insights.
- Volume: Analyzes trading volume during each segment of the cycle.
- The indicator calculates the **maximum**, **minimum**, and **mean** values for each
parameter across all completed cycles, providing deeper statistical insights into market
behavior.
- This table updates in real-time, offering traders a quantitative understanding of how price
behaves over different cycles.
3. Real-Time Data Integration:
- The indicator displays live updates of current price action relative to the last identified
swing high/low. This includes:
- Current distance from the last pivot point.
- Percentage change since the last pivot.
- Volume traded since the last pivot.
4. Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
- Integrated Fibonacci retracement levels are dynamically calculated based on the most
recent significant swing high and low.
- Key retracement levels (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%) are plotted alongside the Zig
Zag lines, helping traders identify potential support/resistance zones.
- Extension levels (100%, 161.8%, etc.) are also included to anticipate possible breakout
targets.
5. Customizable Alerts:
- Users can configure alerts for specific real-time conditions, such as:
- Price Change
- Duration
- Volume
- Fibonacci Retracement Levels
How It Works:
1. Zig Zag Identification:
- The indicator scans historical price data to identify significant turning points where the
price moves by at least the user-defined percentage threshold.
- These turning points are connected by straight lines to form the Zig Zag pattern.
2. Cycle Analysis:
For each completed cycle (from one swing high/low to the next), the indicator calculates:
- Price Change: Difference between the start and end prices of the cycle.
- Maximum Price Change: The largest price difference observed across all cycles.
- Minimum Price Change: The smallest price difference observed across all cycles.
- Mean Price Change: The average price difference across all cycles.
- Time Duration (Bar Count): Number of bars elapsed between consecutive swings.
- Maximum Duration: The longest cycle in terms of bar count.
- Minimum Duration: The shortest cycle in terms of bar count.
- Mean Duration: The average cycle length in terms of bar count.
- Volume: Total volume traded during the cycle.
- Maximum Volume: The highest volume traded during any single cycle.
- Minimum Volume: The lowest volume traded during any single cycle.
- Mean Volume: The average volume traded across all cycles.
- These calculations provide traders with a statistical overview of market behavior, enabling
them to identify patterns and anomalies in price, time, and volume.
3. Fibonacci Integration:
- Once a new swing high or low is identified, the indicator automatically calculates Fibonacci
retracement and extension levels.
- These levels serve as reference points for potential entry/exit opportunities.
4. Real-Time Updates:
- As the market evolves, the indicator continuously monitors the relationship between the
current price and the last identified swing point.
- Real-time metrics, such as percentage change and volume, are updated dynamically.
5. Alerts Based on Real-Time Parameters:
- The indicator allows users to set customizable alerts based on real-time conditions:
- Price Change Alert: Triggered when the real-time price change is less or greater than a
predefined percentage threshold (e.g., > or < fixed value).
- Duration Alert: Triggered when the cycle duration (in bars) is less or greater than a
predefined
bar count threshold (e.g., > or < fixed value).
- Volume Alert: Triggered when the trading volume during the current cycle is less or greater
than a predefined volume threshold (e.g., > or < fixed value).
Advantages of Zig-Zag Cycle Insigth
- Comprehensive Insights: Combining cycle analysis, Fibonacci retracements, and real-time data
provides a holistic view of market conditions.
- Statistical Analysis: The inclusion of maximum, minimum, and mean values for price change,
duration, and volume offers deeper insights into market behavior.
- Actionable Signals: Customizable alerts ensure traders never miss critical market events based
on real-time price, duration, and volume parameters.
- User-Friendly Design: Clear visuals and intuitive controls make it accessible for traders of all
skill levels.
Reference:
TradingView/ZigZag
TradingView/AutofibRetracement
Please Note:
This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice, and it should not be considered a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any financial instrument. Trading involves significant risks, including the potential loss of your entire investment. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
The results and images provided are based on algorithms and historical/paid real-time market data but do not guarantee future results or accuracy. Use this tool at your own risk, and understand that past performance is not indicative of future outcomes.
MonthlyReturnTableLibrary "MonthlyReturnTable"
TODO: The table displays monthly returns, profits, MDD, and number of trades.
get_table(mode, tablePosition, precision, textSize, marginTop, marginBottom, marginLeft, marginRight, colorHead, colorBull, colorBear, colorZero)
: get_table
Parameters:
mode (string)
tablePosition (string)
precision (int)
textSize (int)
marginTop (int)
marginBottom (int)
marginLeft (int)
marginRight (int)
colorHead (color)
colorBull (color)
colorBear (color)
colorZero (color)
Returns: : null, plot perfTable
Volume +OBV + ADXVolume + OBV + ADX Table
Optimized Buyer & Seller Volume with Trend Indications
Overview:
This indicator provides a comprehensive view of market participation and trend strength by integrating Volume, On Balance Volume (OBV) trends, and ADX (Average Directional Index) signals into a visually structured table. Designed for quick decision-making, it highlights buyer and seller dominance while comparing the selected stock with another custom symbol.
Features:
✅ Buyer & Seller Volume Analysis:
Computes buyer and seller volume percentages based on market movements.
Displays daily cumulative volume statistics to assess ongoing market participation.
✅ On Balance Volume (OBV) Trends:
Identifies positive, negative, or neutral OBV trends using an advanced smoothing mechanism.
Highlights accumulation or distribution phases with colored visual cues.
✅ ADX-Based Trend Confirmation:
Evaluates Directional Indicators (DI+ and DI-) to determine the trend direction.
Uses customizable ADX settings to filter out weak trends.
Provides uptrend, downtrend, or neutral signals based on strength conditions.
✅ Custom Symbol Comparison:
Allows users to compare two different assets (e.g., a stock vs. an index or ETF).
Displays a side-by-side comparison of volume dynamics and trend strength.
✅ User-Friendly Table Display:
Presents real-time calculations in a compact and structured table format.
Uses color-coded trend signals for easier interpretation.
Recommended Usage for Best Results:
📌 Pairing this indicator with Sri_Momentum and Sri(+) Pivot will enhance accuracy and provide better trade confirmations.
📌 Adding other major indicators like RSI, CCI, etc., will further increase the probability of winning trades.
How to Use:
Select a custom symbol for comparison.
Adjust ADX settings based on market conditions.
Analyze the table to identify buyer/seller dominance, OBV trends, and ADX trend strength.
Use the combined signals to confirm trade decisions and market direction.
Best Use Cases:
🔹 Trend Confirmation – Validate breakout or reversal signals.
🔹 Volume Strength Analysis – Assess buyer/seller participation before entering trades.
🔹 Multi-Asset Comparison – Compare the behavior of two related instruments.
This indicator is ideal for traders looking to combine volume dynamics with trend-following strategies. 🚀📈
Risk MeterRisk Meter Indicator for TradingView
The Risk Meter is a powerful market risk assessment tool designed to help traders evaluate the current risk environment using a simple, data-driven score. By analyzing four critical market factors—VIX (volatility index), market breadth, trailing volatility, and credit spreads—the indicator generates a risk score between 0 and 4. This score empowers traders to make informed decisions about hedging, exiting positions, or re-entering the market, with clear visual cues and alerts for intraday monitoring.
What It Does
Calculates a Risk Score: Assigns a score from 0 to 4, where each point reflects an active risk condition based on four market indicators.
Identifies Risk Levels:
A score of 3 or higher indicates a high-risk environment, suggesting traders consider hedging or reducing exposure.
A score of 2 or lower for at least two consecutive days signals a potential opportunity to re-enter the market.
Provides Visual Feedback: Uses color-coded Columns, threshold markers, and a component table for quick interpretation.
Supports Decision-Making: Offers a structured approach to managing risk and timing trades.
How It Works
The Risk Meter aggregates four key risk conditions, each contributing 1 point to the total score when triggered:
Elevated and Rising VIX (Risk 1)
Condition: The VIX is above 18 and higher than it was 20 days ago.
Purpose: Detects increasing market fear or uncertainty.
Market Breadth Dropping (Risk 2)
Condition: Either:
Fewer than 50% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 200-day moving average and fewer than 70% are above their 50-day moving average, or
The 3-day EMA of the 200-day breadth falls below 80% of its 20-day SMA.
Purpose: Identifies weakening participation across the market.
Trailing Volatility (Risk 3)
Condition: The 30-day annualized volatility of the equal-weight S&P 500 (RSP) exceeds 35%.
Purpose: Highlights periods of heightened price instability.
Credit Spreads (Risk 4)
Condition: The price ratio of high-yield bonds (HYG) to Treasuries (TLT or IEF) is lower than it was 20 days ago, indicating widening credit spreads.
Purpose: Signals potential stress in credit markets.
The total risk score is the sum of these conditions (0 to 4). Additionally, the indicator tracks consecutive days with a score of 2 or lower to generate re-entry signals.
How to Read It Intraday
The Risk Meter is built on daily data but can be monitored intraday for real-time insights. Here’s how traders can interpret it:
Risk Score Plot:
Displayed as a step line ranging from 0 to 4.
Colors:
Red: High risk (score ≥ 3) – caution advised.
Green: Re-entry signal – score ≤ 2 for at least two consecutive days (triggered when the count increments from 1 to 2).
Blue: Neutral or low risk (score < 3 without a re-entry signal).
Threshold Lines:
Dashed Gray Line at 3: Marks the high-risk threshold.
Dotted Gray Line at 2: Indicates the low-risk threshold for re-entry signals.
Risk Component Table:
Located in the top-right corner, it lists:
VIX, Breadth, Volatility, and Credit Spreads.
Status: Shows "" (warning, red) if the risk condition is met, or "✓" (safe, blue) if not.
Helps traders pinpoint which factors are driving the score.
Alerts:
High Risk Alert: Triggers when the score moves from < 3 to ≥ 3.
Re-entry Signal Alert: Triggers when the score ≤ 2 for two consecutive days.
Intraday Usage Tips
Check the indicator throughout the day for early signs of risk shifts, especially if the score is near a threshold (e.g., 2 or 3).
Combine with other intraday tools (e.g., price action, volume) since the Risk Meter updates daily but reflects broader market conditions.
How Traders Can Use It
High-Risk Signal (Score ≥ 3):
Consider hedging positions (e.g., with options) or reducing equity exposure to protect against potential downturns.
Re-entry Signal (Score ≤ 2 for 2+ Days):
Look to re-enter the market or increase exposure, as it suggests stabilizing conditions.
Daily Risk Management:
Use the score and table to assess overall market health and adjust strategies accordingly.
Alert-Driven Trading:
Set up alerts to stay notified of critical risk changes without constant monitoring.
Why Use the Risk Meter?
This indicator offers a systematic, multi-factor approach to risk assessment, blending volatility, breadth, and credit market data into an easy-to-read score. Whether you’re an intraday trader or a longer-term investor, the Risk Meter helps you stay proactive, avoid surprises, and time your trades with greater confidence.
Financial Risk Disclaimer for the Risk Meter Tool
Important Notice: The Risk Meter is a market risk assessment tool designed to provide insights into current market conditions based on historical data and predefined indicators. It is intended for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any securities, or a guarantee of future market performance.
Key Considerations
No Guarantee of Accuracy: While the Risk Meter utilizes reliable data sources and established financial metrics, the creators do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided. Financial markets are complex and subject to rapid, unpredictable changes, and the tool’s output may not fully reflect all market dynamics.
Market Risks: Trading and investing in financial markets carry significant risks, including the potential loss of principal. Market volatility, economic shifts, and other factors can lead to unexpected outcomes. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, and the Risk Meter’s assessments are based on historical data, not future predictions.
Not a Substitute for Professional Advice: The Risk Meter is not intended to replace personalized financial guidance. Users are strongly encouraged to consult a qualified financial advisor, perform their own research, and evaluate their personal financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any trading or investment decisions.
Limitation of Liability: The creators of the Risk Meter, including any affiliates, developers, or contributors, are not liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential losses or damages arising from the use of this tool. This includes, but is not limited to, financial losses, missed opportunities, or decisions based on the tool’s output.
User Responsibility: By using the Risk Meter, you accept full responsibility for your trading and investment decisions. You acknowledge that you use the tool at your own risk and that the creators bear no responsibility for any outcomes resulting from its use.
Final Note
The Risk Meter is a supplementary tool designed to enhance your understanding of market risk. It is not a comprehensive solution for investment management. Approach trading and investing with caution, ensuring your decisions align with your personal financial strategy.
Trend Structure Shift By BCB ElevateTrend Structure Shift by BCB Elevate
This indicator helps traders identify trend structure shifts by detecting Higher Highs (HH) and Lower Lows (LL) to determine bullish, bearish, or neutral market conditions. It provides real-time trend classification to help traders align with market direction.
How It Works:
📌 Bullish Trend: A new Higher High (HH) is detected, signaling potential uptrend continuation.
📌 Bearish Trend: A new Lower Low (LL) is detected, indicating potential downtrend continuation.
📌 Neutral: No significant trend shift is detected.
Key Features:
✅ Dynamic Trend Detection – Identifies key trend structure shifts using swing highs and lows.
✅ Customizable Settings – Adjust the swing length to fine-tune trend detection.
✅ Trend Table Display – Shows current trend as Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral in a convenient on-chart table.
✅ Table Position Selection – Choose where the trend table appears on the chart (Top/Bottom Left or Right).
✅ Works on All Markets & Timeframes – Use it for Crypto, Forex, Stocks, Commodities, and Indices.
How to Use:
1️⃣ Apply the indicator to your chart.
2️⃣ Observe the Trend Table to determine the market condition.
3️⃣ Use it with support/resistance, moving averages, or other indicators for better trade decisions.
BRT CHARTS MTFDescription of the Indicator
This indicator is designed to visualize and analyze price movements across multiple timeframes simultaneously. It displays candles from selected time intervals directly on the current chart, allowing traders to quickly assess market conditions without switching between different timeframes. This is particularly useful for traders who use multi-timeframe analysis to make trading decisions.
Key Features of the Indicator:
1. Displaying Candles from Multiple Timeframes:
- The indicator allows you to select three timeframes (e.g., 1 hour, 4 hours, and 1 day) and displays their candles on the current chart. This helps to see the overall market picture without switching between charts.
- Candles are displayed as vertical columns, each containing the body and wicks (shadows) of the candle. The colors of the candles (green for bullish and red for bearish) are customizable.
2. Dynamic Updates:
- The indicator automatically updates the candles as new data arrives, allowing you to track market changes in real time.
3. Customizable Number of Candles:
- The user can choose how many candles to display for each timeframe (default is 4 candles). This allows the indicator to be adapted to individual needs.
4. Range Display (High/Low):
- The indicator can show High and Low levels for each timeframe, helping to identify key support and resistance levels.
- It is also possible to display the Mid level (average between High and Low), which can be useful for identifying consolidation zones.
5. Data Table:
- The indicator supports displaying a table with key levels (High, Low, Mid) for each timeframe. The table can be placed in any corner of the chart, and its size and text/background colors are customizable.
6. Flexible Appearance Settings:
- The user can customize the colors of the candles, their wicks, High/Low/Mid levels, as well as the placement of the columns on the chart.
How the Indicator Helps in Trading:
- Multi-Timeframe Analysis: The indicator allows you to analyze multiple timeframes simultaneously, helping to better understand the overall trend and find entry points. For example, if the trend is bullish on the daily timeframe and there is a correction on the hourly timeframe, this could be a good opportunity to buy.
- Identifying Key Levels: Displaying High, Low, and Mid levels helps quickly identify support and resistance zones, which is useful for setting stop-loss and take-profit levels.
- Time-Saving: The indicator eliminates the need to switch between timeframes, speeding up the analysis and decision-making process.
- Visual Clarity: Visualizing candles from different timeframes on a single chart makes analysis more convenient and intuitive.
Example Use Cases:
1. Trend Trading: If a clear uptrend is visible on the daily timeframe and a correction is occurring on the hourly timeframe, you can look for buy opportunities near support levels.
2. Range Trading: If the price is moving sideways across all timeframes, you can use High and Low levels to trade from the boundaries of the range.
3. Identifying Reversal Points: If the price approaches a key resistance level on the higher timeframe and a bearish candle forms on the lower timeframe, this could be a signal to sell.
Conclusion:
This indicator is a powerful tool for traders who use multi-timeframe analysis. It helps quickly assess market conditions, identify key levels, and make informed trading decisions. Thanks to its flexible settings, the indicator can be adapted to any trading style and visualization preferences.
Divergence IQ [TradingIQ]Hello Traders!
Introducing "Divergence IQ"
Divergence IQ lets traders identify divergences between price action and almost ANY TradingView technical indicator. This tool is designed to help you spot potential trend reversals and continuation patterns with a range of configurable features.
Features
Divergence Detection
Detects both regular and hidden divergences for bullish and bearish setups by comparing price movements with changes in the indicator.
Offers two detection methods: one based on classic pivot point analysis and another that provides immediate divergence signals.
Option to use closing prices for divergence detection, allowing you to choose the data that best fits your strategy.
Normalization Options:
Includes multiple normalization techniques such as robust scaling, rolling Z-score, rolling min-max, or no normalization at all.
Adjustable normalization window lets you customize the indicator to suit various market conditions.
Option to display the normalized indicator on the chart for clearer visual comparison.
Allows traders to take indicators that aren't oscillators, and convert them into an oscillator - allowing for better divergence detection.
Simulated Trade Management:
Integrates simulated trade entries and exits based on divergence signals to demonstrate potential trading outcomes.
Customizable exit strategies with options for ATR-based or percentage-based stop loss and profit target settings.
Automatically calculates key trade metrics such as profit percentage, win rate, profit factor, and total trade count.
Visual Enhancements and On-Chart Displays:
Color-coded signals differentiate between bullish, bearish, hidden bullish, and hidden bearish divergence setups.
On-chart labels, lines, and gradient flow visualizations clearly mark divergence signals, entry points, and exit levels.
Configurable settings let you choose whether to display divergence signals on the price chart or in a separate pane.
Performance Metrics Table:
A performance table dynamically displays important statistics like profit, win rate, profit factor, and number of trades.
This feature offers an at-a-glance assessment of how the divergence-based strategy is performing.
The image above shows Divergence IQ successfully identifying and trading a bullish divergence between an indicator and price action!
The image above shows Divergence IQ successfully identifying and trading a bearish divergence between an indicator and price action!
The image above shows Divergence IQ successfully identifying and trading a hidden bullish divergence between an indicator and price action!
The image above shows Divergence IQ successfully identifying and trading a hidden bearish divergence between an indicator and price action!
The performance table is designed to provide a clear summary of simulated trade results based on divergence setups. You can easily review key metrics to assess the strategy’s effectiveness over different time periods.
Customization and Adaptability
Divergence IQ offers a wide range of configurable settings to tailor the indicator to your personal trading approach. You can adjust the lookback and lookahead periods for pivot detection, select your preferred method for normalization, and modify trade exit parameters to manage risk according to your strategy. The tool’s clear visual elements and comprehensive performance metrics make it a useful addition to your technical analysis toolbox.
The image above shows Divergence IQ identifying divergences between price action and OBV with no normalization technique applied.
While traders can look for divergences between OBV and price, OBV doesn't naturally behave like an oscillator, with no definable upper and lower threshold, OBV can infinitely increase or decrease.
With Divergence IQ's ability to normalize any indicator, traders can normalize non-oscillator technical indicators such as OBV, CVD, MACD, or even a moving average.
In the image above, the "Robust Scaling" normalization technique is selected. Consequently, the output of OBV has changed and is now behaving similar to an oscillator-like technical indicator. This makes spotting divergences between the indicator and price easier and more appropriate.
The three normalization techniques included will change the indicator's final output to be more compatible with divergence detection.
This feature can be used with almost any technical indicator.
Stop Type
Traders can select between ATR based profit targets and stop losses, or percentage based profit targets and stop losses.
The image above shows options for the feature.
Divergence Detection Method
A natural pitfall of divergence trading is that it generally takes several bars to "confirm" a divergence. This makes trading the divergence complicated, because the entry at time of the divergence might look great; however, the divergence wasn't actually signaled until several bars later.
To circumvent this issue, Divergence IQ offers two divergence detection mechanisms.
Pivot Detection
Pivot detection mode is the same as almost every divergence indicator on TradingView. The Pivots High Low indicator is used to detect market/indicator highs and lows and, consequently, divergences.
This method generally finds the "best looking" divergences, but will always take additional time to confirm the divergence.
Immediate Detection
Immediate detection mode attempts to reduce lag between the divergence and its confirmation to as little as possible while avoiding repainting.
Immediate detection mode still uses the Pivots Detection model to find the first high/low of a divergence. However, the most recent high/low does not utilize the Pivot Detection model, and instead immediately looks for a divergence between price and an indicator.
Immediate Detection Mode will always signal a divergence one bar after it's occurred, and traders can set alerts in this mode to be alerted as soon as the divergence occurs.
TradingView Backtester Integration
Divergence IQ is fully compatible with the TradingView backtester!
Divergence IQ isn’t designed to be a “profitable strategy” for users to trade. Instead, the intention of including the backtester is to let users backtest divergence-based trading strategies between the asset on their chart and almost any technical indicator, and to see if divergences have any predictive utility in that market.
So while the backtester is available in Divergence IQ, it’s for users to personally figure out if they should consider a divergence an actionable insight, and not a solicitation that Divergence IQ is a profitable trading strategy. Divergence IQ should be thought of as a Divergence backtesting toolkit, not a full-feature trading strategy.
Strategy Properties Used For Backtest
Initial Capital: $1000 - a realistic amount of starting capital that will resonate with many traders
Amount Per Trade: 5% of equity - a realistic amount of capital to invest relative to portfolio size
Commission: 0.02% - a conservative amount of commission to pay for trade that is standard in crypto trading, and very high for other markets.
Slippage: 1 tick - appropriate for liquid markets, but must be increased in markets with low activity.
Once more, the backtester is meant for traders to personally figure out if divergences are actionable trading signals on the market they wish to trade with the indicator they wish to use.
And that's all!
If you have any cool features you think can benefit Divergence IQ - please feel free to share them!
Thank you so much TradingView community!